Batatais vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 4
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
5 - 0
BAT
84%
13%
3%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
BAT
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 0
VOT
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
COM
1 - 4
VOT
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
MIR
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
COM
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |