Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LYO
5 - 2
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
GIR
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
TRO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
SOC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
6 - 1
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 2
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |