Bastia vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 4
PSG
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ETG
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 2
TFC
29%
30%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
REI
1 - 2
TRO
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SOC
3 - 1
TRO
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
16%
25%
60%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRO
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |