Ligue 1 Round 8

Bastia vs Troyes analysis

Bastia Troyes
71 ELO 71
13.8% Tilt 13.9%
708º General ELO ranking 756º
25º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Bastia
24.8%
Draw
22.9%
Troyes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
Bastia
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
Troyes
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia
+4%
+4%
Troyes

ELO progression

Bastia
Troyes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
NIC
Nice
2 - 2
Bastia
BAS
59%
24%
17%
70 82 12 0
25 Sep. 2012
BAS
Bastia
3 - 0
Metz
MET
53%
23%
24%
69 70 1 +1
22 Sep. 2012
BAS
Bastia
0 - 4
PSG
PSG
18%
24%
59%
69 89 20 0
15 Sep. 2012
ETG
Evian Thonon Gaillard
3 - 0
Bastia
BAS
63%
21%
16%
70 79 9 -1
01 Sep. 2012
BAS
Bastia
0 - 3
Saint-Étienne
ASS
27%
27%
46%
70 83 13 0

Matches

Troyes
Troyes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
TRO
Troyes
0 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
29%
30%
42%
72 84 12 0
26 Sep. 2012
REI
Stade de Reims
1 - 2
Troyes
TRO
64%
21%
16%
71 75 4 +1
22 Sep. 2012
SOC
Sochaux
3 - 1
Troyes
TRO
62%
23%
16%
71 79 8 0
15 Sep. 2012
TRO
Troyes
1 - 1
Lille
LIL
16%
25%
60%
71 89 18 0
01 Sep. 2012
BRE
Stade Brestois
2 - 1
Troyes
TRO
57%
25%
18%
71 77 6 0