Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 0
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
TFC
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 2
REI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
REN
3 - 1
TFC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |