Bastia vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SED
0 - 2
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
REI
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
SOC
2 - 3
NIO
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
SOC
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
SOC
7%
15%
77%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SOC
3 - 0
AJA
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
AUX
2 - 1
SOC
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |