Ligue 1 Round 17

Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis

Bastia Olympique Marseille
84 ELO 85
-14.2% Tilt -3.7%
546º General ELO ranking 33º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.8%
Bastia
26.9%
Draw
31.3%
Olympique Marseille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
Bastia
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.3%
Win probability
Olympique Marseille
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia
-3%
-3%
Olympique Marseille

ELO progression

Bastia
Olympique Marseille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2000
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 0
Bastia
BAS
37%
27%
36%
84 79 5 0
04 Nov. 2000
LEN
Lens
4 - 0
Bastia
BAS
58%
22%
20%
85 87 2 -1
29 Oct. 2000
BAS
Bastia
0 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
54%
24%
22%
85 79 6 0
21 Oct. 2000
TRO
Troyes
0 - 0
Bastia
BAS
36%
27%
37%
85 79 6 0
13 Oct. 2000
BAS
Bastia
0 - 2
Monaco
MON
29%
25%
46%
85 89 4 0

Matches

Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2000
MAR
Olympique Marseille
4 - 1
Metz
MET
55%
26%
20%
85 85 0 0
11 Nov. 2000
SED
CS Sedan
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
42%
26%
32%
85 83 2 0
04 Nov. 2000
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
57%
24%
20%
86 83 3 -1
28 Oct. 2000
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
42%
26%
32%
86 81 5 0
22 Oct. 2000
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
64%
21%
14%
86 80 6 0