Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIC
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
3 - 3
NIC
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |