Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
ETG
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 2
REN
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
REI
1 - 2
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
NIC
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
ASN
55%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |