Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
GIR
0 - 2
BAS
57%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
PSG
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
REN
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
GUI
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
PSG
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |