Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 1
PSG
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
BAS
3 - 1
NAN
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
LYO
1 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
NIC
3 - 0
STL
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
ASN
3 - 1
NIC
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 0
ESW
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
LOR
3 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 2
FCG
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |