Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MON
5 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
GIR
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
MPL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 1
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ASN
4 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MET
3 - 3
LOR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
F91
1 - 4
MET
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
ASS
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |