Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 1
SOC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
LYO
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2002 |
NAN
1 - 3
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
BAS
0 - 2
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 1
MET
12%
23%
65%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
TRO
2 - 0
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
MET
5 - 0
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
MET
0 - 2
PSG
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LOR
5 - 4
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |