Ligue 1 Round 15

Bastia vs Metz analysis

Bastia Metz
83 ELO 86
-9.2% Tilt -5.3%
568º General ELO ranking 203º
26º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
45.8%
Bastia
27.6%
Draw
26.6%
Metz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Bastia
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.6%
Win probability
Metz
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia
+4%
+13%
Metz

ELO progression

Bastia
Metz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1999
REN
Stade Rennais
0 - 0
Bastia
BAS
54%
23%
23%
83 83 0 0
30 Oct. 1999
BAS
Bastia
5 - 0
Troyes
TRO
67%
21%
12%
82 74 8 +1
24 Oct. 1999
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 1
Bastia
BAS
55%
24%
21%
82 85 3 0
16 Oct. 1999
AUX
Auxerre
3 - 1
Bastia
BAS
61%
22%
17%
82 86 4 0
13 Oct. 1999
BAS
Bastia
2 - 0
Lens
LEN
38%
27%
35%
82 86 4 0

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 1999
MET
Metz
0 - 0
Lens
LEN
46%
26%
28%
86 87 1 0
30 Oct. 1999
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 0
Metz
MET
32%
28%
40%
86 73 13 0
24 Oct. 1999
MET
Metz
3 - 0
Le Havre
LHA
63%
22%
15%
86 80 6 0
17 Oct. 1999
SED
CS Sedan
0 - 2
Metz
MET
43%
28%
30%
86 78 8 0
13 Oct. 1999
MET
Metz
2 - 2
Nancy
ASN
62%
22%
16%
86 77 9 0