Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 0
NAN
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 3
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
MET
2 - 1
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
MAR
3 - 1
MET
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
MET
3 - 1
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
MET
2 - 2
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
ASS
0 - 0
MET
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |