Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 0
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAS
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BAS
1 - 1
REI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
SOC
3 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
MET
1 - 0
ASN
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
SED
1 - 1
MET
51%
28%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
MET
0 - 1
NÎM
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
LYO
3 - 0
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |