Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
PAU
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EVR
1 - 1
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAE
37%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOR
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 2
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 6
LOR
4%
10%
87%
|
78 | 23 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 2
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 2
MPL
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |