Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 2
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REI
0 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 0
GAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
LOR
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 3
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 4
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |