Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 2
BAS
62%
22%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
TFC
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 2
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 0
LOR
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 3
GIR
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
LOR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |