Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
SÈT
1 - 0
BAS
28%
30%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
DIJ
2 - 1
BAS
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 0
CLE
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2005 |
STL
1 - 2
BAS
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 0
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
CLE
0 - 3
LOR
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |