Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
DIJ
0 - 1
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUX
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
LYO
0 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 3
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
LIL
1 - 0
MON
28%
29%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
SÈT
0 - 2
LIL
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
NAN
3 - 0
LIL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
LIL
1 - 0
SOC
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1994 |
STR
1 - 1
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |