Bastia vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
1 - 1
BAS
10%
21%
69%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
USB
1 - 3
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
REI
1 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 0
STL
67%
22%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
3 - 0
LEN
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 0
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 0
USB
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
AMI
1 - 2
LEN
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |