Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
4 - 2
AMI
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 1
MPL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUB
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 2
FUR
78%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 0
FBB
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
GUI
3 - 1
STA
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
LOR
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 2
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NAN
1 - 2
GUI
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 0
AVR
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |