Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
MAR
90%
9%
2%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
STL
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
4 - 1
BAS
10%
22%
69%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 0
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
83%
13%
4%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
ARL
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 0
GUI
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 0
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |