Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 2
BAS
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
LYO
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
REN
0 - 0
GUI
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 3
GIR
33%
26%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
STR
2 - 0
GUI
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
GUI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |