Bastia vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CF7
0 - 1
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
LHA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
FCG
4 - 2
BRE
40%
30%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ASF
1 - 5
FCG
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCG
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
CAE
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
IST
0 - 1
FCG
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |