Bastia vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIR
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 2
BAS
49%
28%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 2
PSG
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
FCG
1 - 3
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
NIC
3 - 1
FCG
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 0
FCM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
AUX
4 - 0
FCG
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 0
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |