Bastia vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
USF
0 - 2
BAS
5%
14%
81%
|
65 | 23 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 3
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 3
ASN
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 2
NIO
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 2
ROD
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 3
NIO
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SOC
1 - 0
NIO
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |