Bastia vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
MPL
4 - 0
BAS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
DIJ
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
SÈT
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 2
CAE
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 1
NIO
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
NIO
0 - 0
REI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
IST
1 - 0
NIO
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
NIO
1 - 2
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |