Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
REN
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAS
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 2
NIC
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 2
NAN
47%
28%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
REI
0 - 1
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
LHA
0 - 3
CAE
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |