Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
BAS
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 2
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
REI
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 0
LYO
21%
23%
57%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 2
GUI
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MPL
1 - 0
CAE
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |