Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
67%
21%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CAN
2 - 2
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
CAE
3 - 1
AMI
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAE
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAE
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 2
DIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ECL
2 - 7
CAE
6%
12%
82%
|
80 | 10 | 70 | 0 |