Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
FCG
2 - 0
BAS
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 2
DIJ
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
5 - 1
BAS
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
IST
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
LYO
1 - 0
BAS
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
4 - 1
LHA
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
MPL
1 - 3
CAE
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
FCG
64%
22%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
CLE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAE
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |