Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
VAN
0 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
LEN
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
SED
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
USB
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
AMI
2 - 0
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 1
GUI
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
TOU
4 - 1
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |