Bastia vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
4 - 1
LEP
79%
16%
5%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUB
77%
17%
6%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
EFB
1 - 1
BAS
11%
21%
69%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAS
5 - 1
ILE
77%
17%
7%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GEM
0 - 4
AJA
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 4
SCR
44%
21%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LEP
4 - 2
AJA
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
4 - 1
FBB
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
AJA
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |