Bastia Calcio vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
3 - 1
BAS
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIE
9%
22%
69%
|
22 | 76 | 54 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
MPO
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
RIE
80%
15%
5%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIE
3 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 3
RIE
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 2
GAV
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |