Bastia Calcio vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAS
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
USP
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
BAS
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
VFC
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 0
BAS
64%
19%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 3
RIE
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 2
MPO
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
USP
1 - 0
MPO
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MPO
0 - 0
CAS
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VFC
2 - 0
MPO
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |