Bastendorf vs Wincrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAM
40%
25%
36%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 4
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
BBM
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MER
4 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 1
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FFN
2 - 0
WIN
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 1
KEH
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
DCE
0 - 3
WIN
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
ATE
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |