Lega Pro 2 Round 3

Bassano Virtus vs SPAL analysis

Bassano Virtus SPAL
39 ELO 46
-4.4% Tilt -10.9%
ELO win probability
28.3%
Bassano Virtus
25.5%
Draw
46.3%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
Bassano Virtus
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.3%
Win probability
SPAL
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bassano Virtus
-15%
-29%
SPAL

ELO progression

Bassano Virtus
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bassano Virtus
Bassano Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2013
DEL
Delta Porto Tolle
1 - 1
Bassano Virtus
BV5
46%
25%
30%
38 37 1 0
01 Sep. 2013
BV5
Bassano Virtus
3 - 2
Rimini
RIM
56%
23%
22%
38 35 3 0
02 Jun. 2013
BV5
Bassano Virtus
1 - 2
AC Monza
ASS
37%
27%
37%
40 46 6 -2
26 May. 2013
ASS
AC Monza
1 - 0
Bassano Virtus
BV5
63%
21%
16%
40 45 5 0
12 May. 2013
BV5
Bassano Virtus
3 - 1
Milazzo
MIL
84%
12%
4%
41 18 23 -1

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2013
SPA
SPAL
3 - 3
AC Monza
ASS
59%
23%
18%
48 44 4 0
05 May. 2013
VIR
Virtus Castelfranco
4 - 1
SPAL
SPA
28%
25%
47%
51 39 12 -3
28 Apr. 2013
SPA
SPAL
0 - 2
Pro Piacenza
PIA
69%
19%
12%
52 39 13 -1
21 Apr. 2013
SAN
San Miniato Tuttocuoio
0 - 0
SPAL
SPA
33%
25%
41%
52 45 7 0
14 Apr. 2013
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Riccione
RIC
75%
17%
8%
52 31 21 0