Bassano Virtus vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAS
3 - 0
BV5
85%
12%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BV5
0 - 2
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
BV5
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
BV5
1 - 2
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 0
BV5
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PON
4 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 0
MEZ
74%
19%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASG
3 - 2
MOD
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
2 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |