Bassa vs Liberta SC analysis


31	ELO	27
2.5%	Tilt	4.5%
22497º	General ELO ranking	26980º
19º	Country ELO ranking	27º
ELO win probability

52.3%

Bassa

23%

Draw

24.7%

Liberta SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

52.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%

23%

Draw

0-0

5%

1-1

10.7%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

23%

24.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bassa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 Sep. 2007	BAS 3 - 0 VLI 52% 23% 25%	29	29	0	0
23 Sep. 2007	BAS 3 - 0 PAR 52% 23% 25%	29	29	0	0
16 Sep. 2007	BAS 5 - 1 ALL 51% 23% 25%	29	29	0	0
26 Oct. 2005	BAR 6 - 2 BAS 40% 23% 37%	46	43	3	-17
12 Oct. 2005	BAS 1 - 1 BAR 57% 21% 22%	46	43	3	0