BASK vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
61.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FKL
1 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOP
39%
28%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PAB
1 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
BEO
43%
28%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DOR
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SRE
0 - 1
ZEM
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ZEM
4 - 0
FKL
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SOP
0 - 2
ZEM
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
ZEM
1 - 0
PAB
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BEO
1 - 2
ZEM
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |