BASK vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
DOR
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 1
BAS
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIN
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SGR
0 - 0
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
STV
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PRV
1 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
BUD
54%
23%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 2
RAD
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
ZVE
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |