BASK vs Šumadija Jagnjilo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
KOV
0 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZAR
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RAD
2 - 3
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
ZEM
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SRE
1 - 0
BAS
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Šumadija Jagnjilo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ZAR
0 - 1
SMJ
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SMJ
3 - 1
ZEM
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BUD
1 - 4
SMJ
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SMJ
2 - 0
TUR
59%
21%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 3
SMJ
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +2 |