FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 3-1
Basingstoke Town vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
GOS
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 4
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
POO
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
4 - 2
MAN
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
STR
2 - 2
PAU
63%
18%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAU
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 1
MEL
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |