AFC Cup Group D Round 4

Bashundhara Kings vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis

Bashundhara Kings Mohun Bagan SG
32 ELO 66
1.7% Tilt 0.4%
9695º General ELO ranking 1692º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
6.6%
Bashundhara Kings
14.1%
Draw
79.3%
Mohun Bagan SG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
Bashundhara Kings
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
79.3%
Win probability
Mohun Bagan SG
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashundhara Kings
-10%
+39%
Mohun Bagan SG

ELO progression

Bashundhara Kings
Mohun Bagan SG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashundhara Kings
Bashundhara Kings
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
2 - 2
Bashundhara Kings
BAS
84%
12%
4%
30 66 36 0
02 Oct. 2023
BAS
Bashundhara Kings
3 - 2
Odisha FC
DEL
6%
12%
82%
28 60 32 +2
19 Sep. 2023
MAZ
Maziya
3 - 1
Bashundhara Kings
BAS
53%
21%
26%
29 30 1 -1
14 Jul. 2023
BAS
Bashundhara Kings
1 - 0
Abahani
ABA
51%
21%
28%
29 29 0 0
07 Jul. 2023
SHJ
Sheikh Jamal
1 - 3
Bashundhara Kings
BAS
38%
23%
38%
29 25 4 0

Matches

Mohun Bagan SG
Mohun Bagan SG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2023
JAM
Jamshedpur
2 - 3
Mohun Bagan SG
MBS
38%
27%
35%
66 63 3 0
24 Oct. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
2 - 2
Bashundhara Kings
BAS
84%
12%
4%
66 30 36 0
07 Oct. 2023
CHE
Chennaiyin
1 - 3
Mohun Bagan SG
MBS
29%
26%
44%
66 57 9 0
02 Oct. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
2 - 1
Maziya
MAZ
84%
12%
4%
66 31 35 0
29 Sep. 2023
MOH
Mohammedan SC
2 - 0
Mohun Bagan SG
MBS
13%
23%
64%
67 49 18 -1