Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 4

Bashley vs New Milton Town analysis

Bashley New Milton Town
39 ELO 31
3.1% Tilt -0.7%
11807º General ELO ranking 10959º
667º Country ELO ranking 600º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Bashley
19.4%
Draw
16.6%
New Milton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
Bashley
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
New Milton Town
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-7%
+3%
New Milton Town

ELO progression

Bashley
New Milton Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2006
MAR
Marlow FC
1 - 2
Bashley
BAS
53%
23%
24%
38 41 3 0
21 Aug. 2006
PAU
Paulton Rovers
0 - 1
Bashley
BAS
43%
24%
32%
37 35 2 +1
19 Aug. 2006
BAS
Bashley
5 - 3
Windsor & Eton FC
WEF
54%
23%
23%
36 34 2 +1
29 Apr. 2006
HOR
Horsham
7 - 1
Bashley
BAS
68%
19%
14%
36 44 8 0
22 Apr. 2006
BAS
Bashley
3 - 1
Corinthian-Casuals
COR
74%
16%
10%
36 23 13 0

Matches

New Milton Town
New Milton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2006
MIL
New Milton Town
4 - 1
Hillingdon Borough
HIL
68%
19%
14%
31 22 9 0
23 Aug. 2006
MIL
New Milton Town
4 - 0
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
69%
18%
13%
30 21 9 +1
19 Aug. 2006
ABI
Abingdon United
3 - 2
New Milton Town
MIL
21%
23%
56%
31 20 11 -1
29 Apr. 2006
MIL
New Milton Town
3 - 0
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
52%
23%
25%
29 27 2 +2
22 Apr. 2006
KIN
Kingstonian
5 - 0
New Milton Town
MIL
68%
18%
14%
30 41 11 -1