Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 3

Bashley vs Evesham United analysis

Bashley Evesham United
7 ELO 40
11.1% Tilt 17.3%
10909º General ELO ranking 8675º
462º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
6.2%
Bashley
16.3%
Draw
77.5%
Evesham United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
Bashley
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
77.4%
Win probability
Evesham United
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-13%
-2%
Evesham United

ELO progression

Bashley
Evesham United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2015
BAS
Bashley
1 - 5
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
7%
14%
80%
7 36 29 0
08 Aug. 2015
CIN
Cinderford Town
6 - 0
Bashley
BAS
89%
8%
3%
7 32 25 0
25 Apr. 2015
YAT
Yate Town
3 - 1
Bashley
BAS
89%
9%
3%
7 36 29 0
18 Apr. 2015
BAS
Bashley
1 - 4
Fleet Town
FLE
6%
14%
80%
7 20 13 0
11 Apr. 2015
BIS
Bishop's Cleeve
4 - 0
Bashley
BAS
70%
17%
13%
9 12 3 -2

Matches

Evesham United
Evesham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2015
SLI
Slimbridge
0 - 0
Evesham United
EVE
9%
16%
76%
42 14 28 0
08 Aug. 2015
EVE
Evesham United
0 - 1
Yate Town
YAT
54%
23%
23%
42 37 5 0
28 Apr. 2015
EVE
Evesham United
0 - 3
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
62%
20%
19%
42 36 6 0
25 Apr. 2015
BRI
Bridgwater United
3 - 5
Evesham United
EVE
22%
24%
54%
42 28 14 0
18 Apr. 2015
EVE
Evesham United
2 - 1
Tiverton Town
TIV
78%
15%
7%
41 26 15 +1