Bashley vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 3
HIT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
COR
4 - 2
BAS
22%
26%
53%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MER
0 - 2
BAS
27%
27%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
CLE
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CIR
2 - 1
BED
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 0
CIR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
COR
2 - 4
CIR
53%
25%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
CIR
1 - 0
HEM
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +3 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
CIR
1 - 2
CLE
33%
27%
40%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |