Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
9º
49
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
WIN
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
YOB
5 - 1
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAU
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STA
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
YVE
3 - 2
ZUR
23%
24%
52%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 2
WIN
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |