Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
7º
5º
44
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
BAS
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
SBR
3 - 3
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
SBR
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
5 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 0
WIN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 5
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
28%
24%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |